OFFICIAL GROUP DRAW

Group H World Cup 2026 odds, teams, and betting guide

Official FIFA group order: Saudi Arabia · Uruguay · Spain · Cabo Verde. Spain own the strongest raw profile, but Uruguay and Saudi Arabia make Group H tactically awkward while Cabo Verde add real underdog disruption value.

Featured team

Spain lead Bettista's current model, but this group is priced closer than the badges alone suggest.

Projected points line

4 points is the first meaningful qualification line in Group H, especially with third-place routes still in play.

Venue path

Atlanta -> Miami -> Houston define the climate, recovery, and altitude pattern that shapes this group's pricing.

21% qualify

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia project as a balanced team in Group H. The sharper angle is usually whether 10.40 group-winner pricing, 21% modeled qualification odds, and 1,790 travel miles all point in the same direction. Spain own the strongest raw profile, but Uruguay and Saudi Arabia make Group H tactically awkward while Cabo Verde add real underdog disruption value.

Group winner 10.40 · 1,790 miles

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49% qualify

Uruguay

Uruguay project as a balanced team in Group H. The sharper angle is usually whether 3.50 group-winner pricing, 49% modeled qualification odds, and 1,880 travel miles all point in the same direction. Spain own the strongest raw profile, but Uruguay and Saudi Arabia make Group H tactically awkward while Cabo Verde add real underdog disruption value.

Group winner 3.50 · 1,880 miles

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74% qualify

Spain

Spain project as a public premium team in Group H. The sharper angle is usually whether 1.98 group-winner pricing, 74% modeled qualification odds, and 1,380 travel miles all point in the same direction. Spain own the strongest raw profile, but Uruguay and Saudi Arabia make Group H tactically awkward while Cabo Verde add real underdog disruption value.

Group winner 1.98 · 1,380 miles

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15% qualify

Cabo Verde

Cabo Verde project as a balanced team in Group H. The sharper angle is usually whether 14.20 group-winner pricing, 15% modeled qualification odds, and 1,500 travel miles all point in the same direction. Spain own the strongest raw profile, but Uruguay and Saudi Arabia make Group H tactically awkward while Cabo Verde add real underdog disruption value.

Group winner 14.20 · 1,500 miles

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Projected qualification table

Central data model

Team	Qualify	Group Winner	Historic Win Rate	Travel Miles
Spain	74%	1.98	0.49	1,380
Uruguay	49%	3.50	0.47	1,880
Saudi Arabia	21%	10.40	0.19	1,790
Cabo Verde	15%	14.20	0.12	1,500

Group winner betting

Group H winner betting: how to compare the prices

The useful way to price Group H is to compare group-winner odds with the qualification path, travel burden, and fixture order. A short favorite can still be a poor bet if the market already prices a clean route, while a second seed can become interesting when the venue path or points line is easier than the headline odds imply.

Check Group H qualification math

Points threshold, projected table, and third-place path.

Convert group winner odds

Turn decimal, fractional, or American odds into implied probability.

Run an EV check

Compare your true group winner estimate with the market price.

Venue and altitude notes

Atlanta · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · 1,050 ft
Miami · Hard Rock Stadium · 8 ft
Houston · NRG Stadium · 80 ft

Next reads

Open qualification math

Projected points line, probability table, and travel pressure for Group H.

Spain travel schedule

See the stadium sequence, mileage, and recovery context behind Spain's group path.

Uruguay travel schedule

See the stadium sequence, mileage, and recovery context behind Uruguay's group path.