OFFICIAL GROUP DRAW

Group K World Cup 2026 odds, teams, and betting guide

Official FIFA group order: Portugal · DR Congo · Uzbekistan · Colombia. Portugal and Colombia supply the top-end quality, but DR Congo and Uzbekistan give Group K enough defensive discipline to punish lazy favorite pricing.

Featured team

Portugal lead Bettista's current model, but this group is priced closer than the badges alone suggest.

Projected points line

4 points is the first meaningful qualification line in Group K, especially with third-place routes still in play.

Venue path

Houston -> Mexico City -> Atlanta define the climate, recovery, and altitude pattern that shapes this group's pricing.

69% qualify

Portugal

Portugal project as a public premium team in Group K. The sharper angle is usually whether 2.10 group-winner pricing, 69% modeled qualification odds, and 1,520 travel miles all point in the same direction. Portugal and Colombia supply the top-end quality, but DR Congo and Uzbekistan give Group K enough defensive discipline to punish lazy favorite pricing.

Group winner 2.10 · 1,520 miles

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22% qualify

DR Congo

DR Congo project as a balanced team in Group K. The sharper angle is usually whether 10.80 group-winner pricing, 22% modeled qualification odds, and 1,610 travel miles all point in the same direction. Portugal and Colombia supply the top-end quality, but DR Congo and Uzbekistan give Group K enough defensive discipline to punish lazy favorite pricing.

Group winner 10.80 · 1,610 miles

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16% qualify

Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan project as a balanced team in Group K. The sharper angle is usually whether 12.70 group-winner pricing, 16% modeled qualification odds, and 1,170 travel miles all point in the same direction. Portugal and Colombia supply the top-end quality, but DR Congo and Uzbekistan give Group K enough defensive discipline to punish lazy favorite pricing.

Group winner 12.70 · 1,170 miles

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43% qualify

Colombia

Colombia project as a balanced team in Group K. The sharper angle is usually whether 4.90 group-winner pricing, 43% modeled qualification odds, and 1,410 travel miles all point in the same direction. Portugal and Colombia supply the top-end quality, but DR Congo and Uzbekistan give Group K enough defensive discipline to punish lazy favorite pricing.

Group winner 4.90 · 1,410 miles

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Projected qualification table

Central data model

Team	Qualify	Group Winner	Historic Win Rate	Travel Miles
Portugal	69%	2.10	0.46	1,520
Colombia	43%	4.90	0.41	1,410
DR Congo	22%	10.80	0.12	1,610
Uzbekistan	16%	12.70	0.12	1,170

Group winner betting

Group K winner betting: how to compare the prices

The useful way to price Group K is to compare group-winner odds with the qualification path, travel burden, and fixture order. A short favorite can still be a poor bet if the market already prices a clean route, while a second seed can become interesting when the venue path or points line is easier than the headline odds imply.

Check Group K qualification math

Points threshold, projected table, and third-place path.

Convert group winner odds

Turn decimal, fractional, or American odds into implied probability.

Run an EV check

Compare your true group winner estimate with the market price.

Venue and altitude notes

Houston · NRG Stadium · 80 ft
Mexico City · Estadio Azteca · 7,300 ft
Atlanta · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · 1,050 ft

Next reads

Open qualification math

Projected points line, probability table, and travel pressure for Group K.

Portugal travel schedule

See the stadium sequence, mileage, and recovery context behind Portugal's group path.

Colombia travel schedule

See the stadium sequence, mileage, and recovery context behind Colombia's group path.