GROUP QUALIFICATION PAGE

Group C qualification math

Brazil headline the group, but Morocco, Scotland, and Haiti create one of the most contrast-heavy sections on the board in style, pace, and market sentiment. Bettista's model treats 4 points as the first meaningful qualification threshold in this group.

Projected points line

Most modeled paths into the top two start at 4 points in Group C.

Travel context

Boston -> Atlanta -> Miami shape the recovery burden in this group.

Most likely group winner

Brazil lead the model, but second place is where the sharpest market mistakes usually appear.

Projected qualification table

Central data template
TeamQualifyGroup WinnerHistoric Win RateTravel Miles
Brazil81%1.760.671,480
Morocco48%4.400.391,630
Scotland24%8.700.241,940
Haiti12%13.800.081,520

Why 4 points matter

In Bettista's tournament model, 4 points create the first realistic qualification foothold in Group C. Four-point groups usually stay alive until the final matchday, while five-point groups often reward teams that avoid the one expensive early loss.

That is why the best betting angle is often not the favorite to win the group. It is the second-ticket price, the draw market in the biggest tactical fixture, or the team whose travel route makes a late-match fade more likely.

Venue and altitude notes

  • Boston · Gillette Stadium · 151 ft
  • Atlanta · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · 1,050 ft
  • Miami · Hard Rock Stadium · 8 ft

Brazil travel schedule

See stadium sequence, mileage, and why recovery matters for Brazil's group path.

Open travel page

Morocco travel schedule

See stadium sequence, mileage, and why recovery matters for Morocco's group path.

Open travel page

Scotland travel schedule

See stadium sequence, mileage, and why recovery matters for Scotland's group path.

Open travel page

Haiti travel schedule

See stadium sequence, mileage, and why recovery matters for Haiti's group path.

Open travel page