Group G World Cup 2026 odds, teams, and betting guide
Official FIFA group order: IR Iran · New Zealand · Belgium · Egypt. Belgium get the shortest number, but Egypt, IR Iran, and New Zealand make Group G a clean test of whether technical control can survive a very different set of match scripts.
Featured team
Belgium lead Bettista's current model, but this group is priced closer than the badges alone suggest.
Projected points line
4 points is the first meaningful qualification line in Group G, especially with third-place routes still in play.
Venue path
Los Angeles -> Seattle -> Vancouver define the climate, recovery, and altitude pattern that shapes this group's pricing.
IR Iran
IR Iran project as a balanced team in Group G. The sharper angle is usually whether 12.40 group-winner pricing, 19% modeled qualification odds, and 1,490 travel miles all point in the same direction. Belgium get the shortest number, but Egypt, IR Iran, and New Zealand make Group G a clean test of whether technical control can survive a very different set of match scripts.
Group winner 12.40 · 1,490 miles
Read team previewNew Zealand
New Zealand project as a balanced team in Group G. The sharper angle is usually whether 11.50 group-winner pricing, 18% modeled qualification odds, and 1,920 travel miles all point in the same direction. Belgium get the shortest number, but Egypt, IR Iran, and New Zealand make Group G a clean test of whether technical control can survive a very different set of match scripts.
Group winner 11.50 · 1,920 miles
Read team previewBelgium
Belgium project as a public premium team in Group G. The sharper angle is usually whether 2.60 group-winner pricing, 61% modeled qualification odds, and 1,180 travel miles all point in the same direction. Belgium get the shortest number, but Egypt, IR Iran, and New Zealand make Group G a clean test of whether technical control can survive a very different set of match scripts.
Group winner 2.60 · 1,180 miles
Read team previewEgypt
Egypt project as a balanced team in Group G. The sharper angle is usually whether 7.60 group-winner pricing, 26% modeled qualification odds, and 1,210 travel miles all point in the same direction. Belgium get the shortest number, but Egypt, IR Iran, and New Zealand make Group G a clean test of whether technical control can survive a very different set of match scripts.
Group winner 7.60 · 1,210 miles
Read team previewProjected qualification table
Central data model| Team | Qualify | Group Winner | Historic Win Rate | Travel Miles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 61% | 2.60 | 0.46 | 1,180 |
| Egypt | 26% | 7.60 | 0.20 | 1,210 |
| IR Iran | 19% | 12.40 | 0.21 | 1,490 |
| New Zealand | 18% | 11.50 | 0.14 | 1,920 |
Group G winner betting: how to compare the prices
The useful way to price Group G is to compare group-winner odds with the qualification path, travel burden, and fixture order. A short favorite can still be a poor bet if the market already prices a clean route, while a second seed can become interesting when the venue path or points line is easier than the headline odds imply.
Venue and altitude notes
- Los Angeles · SoFi Stadium · 239 ft
- Seattle · Lumen Field · 174 ft
- Vancouver · BC Place · 230 ft
Next reads
Projected points line, probability table, and travel pressure for Group G.
See the stadium sequence, mileage, and recovery context behind Belgium's group path.
See the stadium sequence, mileage, and recovery context behind Egypt's group path.